// Real Time Hurricane Flood Results

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Decision Support

Real time model guidance for hurricane storm surge

In the aftermath of hurricane Katrina in 2005, the need for reliable high resolution flood modeling for hurricane inundation became apparent. In response, we developed the ADCIRC Surge Guidance System (ASGS) to provide decision support for officials tasked with operating critical infrastructure.

During a storm, we run our modeling system on a fleet of supercomputers to produce actionable guidance for the severity, timing and location of storm surge inundation. We also produce results for wind speed, wind direction, and wave action. We share these results in cooperation with collaborators including CERA.

As hurricanes form and approach the US coastline, we use forecast advisories from the National Hurricane Center to update our guidance every six hours for use by official decision makers including the Louisiana Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority, FEMA, the US Coast Guard, engineering firms, insurance underwriters and adjusters, and many others.

ADCIRC Surge Guidance System

Our software automation framework for the ADCIRC coastal ocean model includes hands off construction of all input files, meteorological forcing, tidal boundary conditions, and Operator scenario package specifiations.

Flexible and Powerful

Our design criteria for the ASGS is that it must be fast, reliable, and maintainable. It is portable and runs on supercomputers all over the US. Our deployment partners use its pluggable post processing framework to disseminate a variety of analysis products.

Scenario Based Guidance

Stormsurge.live Operators have fine grained control over the types of scenarios to compute: track variations, maximum wind speed, storm size, and forward speed are all available to address those "what-if" questions.

Partnerships

Teamwork and partnerships are key for us to provide the level of service and reliability our decision makers require when a stom is bearing down. We are proud to work with the Coastal Emergency Risks Assessment (CERA) team at LSU as well as the Texas Advanced Computing Center (TACC) at the Univeristy of Texas at Austin.

CERA

CERA is widely used by key decision makers at the highest levels in the US and around the world for situational awareness and high level political briefings. It is also used by Federal agencies including military professionals in live operations to drill down into the details of the latest data to plan routes and position assets.

Texas Advanced Computing Center

TACC is the home of some of the largest and most advanced supercomputers in the US (it is Texas after all) and they have a commitment to public service to match their size. Our cooperation with TACC is transformative in the speed and scope of the guidance we can provide, allowing us to have impact on a National scale.

Contact Us for a Free Consultation

We work with government agencies, engineering consulting firms, insuretech professionals, and academic researchers. We'd love to hear more about your challenges and how we can help!

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// Real Time Hurricane Flood Results

stormsurge.live

Decision Support Overview

This invited presentation that I gave to the Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics at the University of Texas at Austin provides an overview of real time ADCIRC model guidance for decision support.

Hurricane Decision Support in Texas and Beyond

As described in the video above, we have been actively partnering with the University of Texas since Hurricane Ike in 2008, and providing live model decision support since then, including the Deepwater Horizon in 2010 and Hurricane Harvey in 2017, among other events.

CERA at Louisiana State University

Our software automation operationalizes the ADCIRC model to provide the results show on the CERA website on a daily basis as well as during hurricane storm events. We also contribute to research projects and results by facilitating model innovations, including Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AI/ML).

ADCIRC Prediction System at UNC Chapel Hill

Our software automation produced proven success for the hurricane response and recovery operations for hurricanes including Irene (2011) and Florence (2018) in North Carolina.

RICHAMP for New England

Through our work with the Department of Homeland Security sponsored Coastal Resilience Center, our real time ADCIRC modeling system produced results for the Rhode Island Coastal Hazards, Modeling, and Prediction System (RICHAMP) during Hurricane Henri in 2021, among other events.

Model Guidance for Enhanced Resolution Storm Surge Results

We produce storm surge model results at the same resolution as the ADCIRC mesh and support research and operations to downscale these results using DEM data to provide the most accurate flood footprint.

Incorporating Rainfall to Support the National Severe Storms Lab

We expanded our robust and reliable ADCIRC automation system in 2010 to connect with an operational hydrology model developed in cooperation with the NOAA NSSL and researchers at the University of Oklahoma.